日韩午夜精品视频,欧美私密网站,国产一区二区三区四区,国产主播一区二区三区四区

 

Economic uncertainties check stock market rally

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, October 25, 2010
Adjust font size:

The strength of the liquidity-driven rally in the Chinese stock market may be weakened in the coming months as uncertainties still remain in the Chinese economy which has shown signs of moderate slowdown, analysts said.

"The rally in the equities market was a result of the liquidity wave caused by the latest round of quantitative-easing policy adopted by central banks around the world," said Tu Jun, an analyst at Shanghai Securities. "But the excess liquidity is not necessarily a sign of solid economic growth."

The devaluation of the US dollar and the United States Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy has driven massive and potentially destabilizing flows of capital into emerging countries, including China, which has helped push up assets and commodity prices.

The liquidity wave has also lifted the A-share market, which has rebounded by 25 percent from July's low level. Tu said that the rally may be coming to an end as a new round of interest rate hikes may begin in China.

China's central bank raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, which analysts said may mark the onset of a tightening cycle.

Tu said that the Shanghai gauge can hardly surpass the level of 3,400 points given the fact that the rally was largely driven by excess liquidity rather than the improving performance of the listed companies.

In the meantime, some economists said that China still faces strong inflationary pressure after the country's consumer prices accelerated by 3.6 percent in September, the highest in 23 months.

The International Monetary Fund warned in a recent statement that strong capital inflows combined with easy monetary policy conditions may pose risks to financial stability in emerging economies and further policy tightening may be needed.

Some economists expect even higher inflation for China in the next two years and more rate increases may be coming after the central bank raised borrowing costs on Oct 19 for the first time since 2007 to avert asset bubbles.

"We expect higher inflation in 2011 and 2012, driven not only by rising food prices but also by accelerating non-food factors, including higher costs of labor, land and other inputs, which we think will become increasingly difficult for China's productivity growth to match," Robert Subbaraman, chief economist for Asia excluding Japan at Nomura International Ltd, wrote in a report.

"The risk is inflation will remain an issue and that's why next year we have four more rate hikes as our forecast," Subbaraman was quoted by Bloomberg as saying. He predicted a one-percentage point increase in the interest rate by the Chinese central bank in 2011.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 治多县| 郯城县| 皋兰县| 西城区| 茶陵县| 交口县| 屏东县| 上饶县| 永州市| 南华县| 娱乐| 小金县| 沙坪坝区| 新闻| 平安县| 嘉鱼县| 德格县| 和龙市| 安国市| 台中县| 宜宾市| 进贤县| 绵竹市| 平遥县| 鄢陵县| 新津县| 库车县| 饶阳县| 宜兰县| 娄烦县| 满洲里市| 龙江县| 藁城市| 灵台县| 蓬安县| 武定县| 瓦房店市| 环江| 桂林市| 公主岭市| 贡嘎县|