Chinese meteorologists from the National Marine Environmental
Forecasting Center predict that in terms of the observation data on
the atmosphere, ocean, and sun, a serious
El
Nino phenomenon will occur in April and May this year.
Currently, both the oceanic and atmospheric circumfluence signals
the antecedent features for the occurrence of an El Nino
phenomenon. Meanwhile, according to the study on sun activities and
El Nino relations, meteorologists predict that the occurrence of El
Nino may frequently appears three times in the next six years from
2002 to 2008.
The El Nino phenomenon, which occurs roughly every four years, is
caused by abnormal temperature increases in tropical waters and
leads to global weather and climate anomalies.
As
a result of the effect of El Nino, aside from the abnormal winter,
north China will also suffer from scarce rainfall and high
temperatures in summer, and south China will be plagued by
devastating floods and low temperatures.
Statistics show that all the serious floods hit China in the past
100 years were brought by El Nino which occurred a year before. In
1998, a devastating flood occurred along the Yangtze River after
the El Nino occurred in 1997 and 1998.
(
January 30, 2002)